Examining the decoupling hypothesis for India

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Author: 
Shruthi Jayaram
Ila Patnaik
Ajay Shah
Description: 
Working Paper No. 2009-61
JEL codes: 
Organisation: 
Abstract: 
This paper examines the decoupling hypothesis for India. We analyse business cycle synchronisation between India and a set of industrial economies, particularly the United States, over the period 1992 to 2008. The evidence suggests that the Indian business cycle exhibits increasing co-movement with business cycles in industrial economies over this period. Indian business cycle synchronisation is stronger with industrial countries as a whole as opposed to the co-movement found with the US.