Microeconomics

Is it Social Influence on Beliefs Under Ambiguity? A Possible Explanation for Volatility Clustering

January 1, 2006

Hammad A. Siddiqi

LUMS

Abstract

Influencing and being influenced by others is the very essence of human behaviour. We put forward an exploratory asset-pricing model allowing for social influence on investor judgments under ambiguity. The time series of returns generated by our model displays volatility clustering, a puzzling stylised fact observed in financial markets. This suggests that social influence on investor judgments may be playing a role in generating volatility clustering.

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