Description:
WP-2003-002
File:
Organisation:
Abstract:
Using Bayesian updating to deterministic priors persistence of fundamentalist belief like
those in the mind of a terrorist is explained. Under such belief system if conditional evidence
is diametrically opposite and also deterministic then a process of change will set in and in the
present war against terrorism this can be effectively done through Islamic religious
authorities. In situations where interaction is the basis, self-defeating scenarios can be
avoided by giving space to others. Thus, in the political sphere one has to be accommodative
about the concerns of Middle East, this will also make things easier for intervention through
Islam.